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Considering our College Football 2013 Preseason Predictions have been released, we wanted to see how they stacked up with the offshore sportsbook 5 Dimes win totals for all the major college football teams. After comparing our win totals with 5 Dimes, Boat Shoes and Burritos have found ten 5 Dimes' predictions that were way off. As a result, here are Boat Shoes and Burritos' choices for the best Win Total bets for the upcoming 2013 College Football Season.
1. NC State Wolf Pack: Take the Under
B &B: 3 wins
5 Dimes: 6.5 wins
Reasoning: It’s understandable why everyone has Dave Doeren fever. Leading a program like Northern Illinois to the Orange Bowl is a pretty incredible feat. However, with only 6 returning starters on offense and an inexperienced QB, I don’t see the Wolf Pack anywhere near 6 wins. Remember, Nick Saban only had 6 wins in his first year at Alabama.
2. Miami Hurricanes: Take the Under
B & B: 6 wins
5 Dimes: 9.5 wins
Reasoning: I think 5 Dimes is a little too anxious for “The U” to be “back” as well. With a game against Florida and then a game @FSU, the Canes already have two guaranteed losses on their record. They also have a game @Chapel Hill and two home games against Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech. Where exactly are these nine wins coming from? The under looks very safe here.
3. Stanford Cardinal: Take the Over
B & B: 12 wins
5 Dimes : 9.5 wins
Reasoning: Admittedly, the schedule has some tough games on it. Having to travel to Los Angeles twice to play the Bruins and Trojans won’t be easy. However, they get Notre Dame and Oregon both at home. At most, there are two losses on their schedule. I’d put my money in the trust of Head Coach David Shaw and QB Kevin Hogan.
4. BYU Cougars: Take the Under
B & B: 6 wins
5 Dimes: 8.5 wins
Reasoning: Bronco Mendehall’s Cougars return a lot of talent from their 8-5 team last year on both offense and defense. However, there is absolutely no way they win more than 7 games in 2013. They have 8 games on their schedule that are potential losses: @Virginia; Texas; Utah; Utah State; Georgia Tech; Boise State; Wisconsin; and Notre Dame. It would be a minor miracle for the Cougars to win three of those games, and that would still only get them to 7-6. I’ve got to take the under here.
5. Virgina Cavaliers: Take the Over
B & B: 7 wins
5 Dimes: 4.5 wins
Reasoning: Although he’s no Matt Schaub, QB David Watford has experience and should be serviceable this year for the Cavaliers. Couple Watford’s experience with a strong running game, and the Cavaliers should be able to rack up wins in the middle of their season. Even if they lose to BYU and Oregon, they follow with a very winnable 5 game stretch of VMI, @Pitt; Ball State; @Maryland, and Duke. Then, if the Cavaliers can win even one of their last 5 games, their already at 6 wins. Definitely the sleeper pick of the 2013 College Football Season.
6. USC Trojans: Take the Under
B & B: 8 wins
5 Dimes: 10.5 wins
Reasoning: I know they don’t have to play Oregon this year. I’ll even give you that QB Max Wittek might turn out to be an upgrade over Barkley. Still, expecting 10 wins from a Kiffen-Coached SC team that continuously loses in tough road spots is ridiculous. With road games at Arizona State, Notre Dame, Oregon State, not to mention home games against Stanford and UCLA, the Trojans should call it a success just to get to 8 wins. Easy under prediction for me here.
7. Georgia Bulldogs: Take the Over
B & B: 12 wins
5 Dimes: 9.5 wins
Reasoning: The 9.5 win prediction by 5 Dimes basically assumes the Bulldogs will lose at Clemson. It also predicts a loss in Gainesville and then either a home loss against South Carolina or LSU. With all the talent the Bulldogs lost on defense that may not sound like a crazy prediction. However, this is arguably the most complete offense in college football. I trust QB Murray and company will be able to score enough points to make up for the Bulldogs young defense. The 12 win prediction may have been a little bullish, but the Bulldogs should get to at least 10 wins.
8. Mississippi State Bulldogs: Take the Over
B & B: 8 wins
5 Dimes: 5.5 wins
Reasoning: Early in the season the Bulldogs get three easy games, with Alcorn State, at Auburn, and Troy. Then, after they play LSU, Georgia gets two gimme home games against Bowling Green and Kentucky. Further, the Bulldogs finish the season playing at Arkansas and at home agaisnt Ole Miss. With the key components from their 2012 offense returning, the Bulldogs should have no problem winning 7 games.
9. Auburn Tigers: Take the Under
B & B: 4 wins
5 Dimes: 6.5 wins
Reasoning: The Tigers went 0-8 in the SEC last year, have a brand new coach, and have no established QB. They play 4 non-SEC games against Washington State, Arkansas State, Western Carolina, and Florida Atlantic. Auburn will most likely win those 4, but the only even potential winnable SEC games are @ Arkansas and @Tennessee. The Tigers are heading in the right direction, but I don’t think their ready to win road games against even below-average SEC opponents.
10. Minnesota Gophers: Take the Under
B & B: 3 wins
5 Dimes: 5.5 wins
Reasoning: Granted they do begin the season with 4 nonconference opponents, but I have the Gophers losing @ New Mexico State. Also, the Gophers don’t have games against other "bottom of the Big 10 teams" like Illinois or Purdue. Even if their victorious at Indiana on November 2, the Gophers should only wind up with 4 wins. I know Coach Kirkwood did a great job with this Minnesota team last year, but Phil Nelson is still their starting QB.
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Pretty hilarious. I agree with ONE of these --- Georgia. (and in fact, bet the opposite on 6 of these.)
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